Most of the time, something big happening won’t increase the odds of it happening again.
It’s the opposite.
Welcome to the mean reversion.The merciless law of finance.
Even when something happens again, most of the time it doesn’t or shouldn’t – impact your actions.
Most extrapolations are short term while most goals are long-termed.
So, what is the stable strategy designed to endure change?
One should guard against the possibility of whatever just happened happening again.
Never think you know the future. Your current model or strategy will become irrelevant sooner than later.